The past couple weeks, I've been just over target, but close enough that I feel like I'm on track.
I've removed the red line from the graph, as it only really made sense when I was below the blue one. I will keep the blue one there throughout, though I may decide to decrease its slope a bit, if I keep getting further behind. I'm still very committed to staying on track for the long term, but as long as I'm losing consistently, I'm not sure how much it matters if I lose 0.5% of my body weight per week (~1.5 lbs/week now), vs. 0.4% (1.25 lbs/week). I'll get to my goal a bit more slowly, but if it's sustainable, I'd rather stay near the target and stay motivated than be constantly behind and beating myself up.
Also, I may rework the formula, so my target weight-loss is based on how much fat I have to lose, rather than based off my full body weight. That means the rate will decrease more the closer I get to goal, which is probably more realistic. (But, of course, that also means it will take longer to get to goal...)
I had a great vacation with the family last week. I didn't do much exercise beyond a fair amount of stair/hill walking down to the beach and back, but my eating was very good. I was hoping to have a bigger loss, but didn't make very good choices the day I got back (something about air travel seems to turn on my fast-food cravings), and had a lot of salty stuff last night, so may have had some water-weight.
In other news, my boss approved my change to a 4-day work week, so I now get a long weekend every week. Yay! Now the trick will be to do something productive with that time. This Friday, I'll be off delivering Singing Valentines. Whee! I love making the ladies cry. ;-)